tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6894866515532737257.post6394343553373463550..comments2024-03-28T21:59:14.517-07:00Comments on Probably Overthinking It: Bayesian analysis of gluten sensitivityAllen Downeyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01633071333405221858noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6894866515532737257.post-42015949885315840192016-06-08T03:53:09.351-07:002016-06-08T03:53:09.351-07:00The paper says that the subjects were diagnosed wi...The paper says that the subjects were diagnosed with NCGS based on clinical diagnostic criteria, not physical measurements. And the point of the study was to test "whether symptoms in non-coeliac patients... are specifically triggered by gluten".Allen Downeyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01633071333405221858noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6894866515532737257.post-38210142737511938522016-06-08T01:35:46.808-07:002016-06-08T01:35:46.808-07:00It appears to me that all 35 patients were known t...It appears to me that all 35 patients were known to have Non-Celiac Gluten Sensitivity (NCGS) by physical measurements. I believe the point of the study was to show only 12 of 35 of patients with NCGS would correctly relay the "diagnosis" to their doctor via a currently-accepted questionnaire.Zawyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03727573717462028189noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6894866515532737257.post-60588292922569335762015-09-02T08:31:51.189-07:002015-09-02T08:31:51.189-07:00Thanks for this analysis. Unless I'm missing ...Thanks for this analysis. Unless I'm missing something, I can't understand what the Italian authors were thinking, or how this got past review. The study seems well designed. But their conclusion is bizarre. It seems to be equivalent to: if 100 participants claim the psychic ability to predict a single coin toss, and 50 get it right, that those 50 are actually psychic.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15987132500150157640noreply@blogger.com