Probably Overthinking It

A blog by Allen Downey.

Wednesday, September 26, 2018

This blog has moved

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As of September 2018, I am moving Probably Overthinking It to a new location . Blogger has been an excellent host; so far, this blog has ...
Wednesday, September 19, 2018

Two hour marathon in 2031, maybe

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On Sunday (September 16, 2018) Eliud Kipchoge ran the Berlin Marathon in 2:01:39, smashing the previous world record by more than a minute ...
Thursday, September 13, 2018

Tom Bayes and the case of the double dice

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The double dice problem Suppose I have a box that contains one each of 4-sided, 6-sided, 8-sided, and 12-sided dice. I choose a d...
Tuesday, July 10, 2018

The Physics of Bungee Jumping

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Bungee jumping turns out to be more complicated than I realized.  I use bungee jumping as an example in Modeling and Simulation in Python , ...
Friday, June 22, 2018

Inference in three hours

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I am preparing a talk for the Joint Statistical Meetings ( JSM 2018 ) in August.  It's part of a session called " Bringing Intro St...
Friday, June 1, 2018

Bayesian Zig Zag

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Almost two years ago, I had the pleasure of speaking at the inaugural meeting of the Boston Bayesians , where I presented " Bayesian Ba...
Thursday, May 3, 2018

Some people hate custom libraries

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For most of my books, I provide a Python module that defines the functions and objects I use in the book.  That makes some people angry. T...
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Allen Downey
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